The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-05 14:53 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning78% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ outperforms SPY by >0.5% over 48h, or a named mega-cap (MSFT, NVDA, AMZN) earnings print reprices upward in the window
resolves48h
gradeopen
QQQprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- The Winners of Trump’s A.I. Safety Plan
- Why Erdős Problems Are Falling to AI
- TIME Is Serving AI Bots a Different Website, with Ads Built In