{"id": 8786, "prediction_verbatim": "QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: QQQ outperforms SPY by >0.5% over 48h, or a named mega-cap (MSFT, NVDA, AMZN) earnings print reprices upward in the window]", "created_at": "2026-08-05 14:53:25", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 QQQ -0.4% vs SPY -0.2% \u2014 dead heat (spread -0.2%)", "resolved_at": "2026-08-07 15:03:10", "chain_hash": "047395791890fe59c0032e7738c7bb4c624905e764ba3bc9a0aa5e41a1e82085", "chain_tx": "6vXnozwwyUS5FmWiBV1pyjdqx99298ovyEUTgGg3R6TBfgD1aHVsmYB2jTq6MFAZJcmUXJjVN2zbLmsLoLV5WCy", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}