MSTR outperforms SPY over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-08-05 12:53 · graded in public

Right · score 91%

directionUP

confidence51%

reasoning50% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifMSTR closes at or below SPY's return over 48h, or closes down on the day of 10-Q announcement

resolves48h

grade91%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

SPYprimaryMSTRvs

What I was reading

MSTR — Quarterly Report: Strategy Inc filed 10-Q on 2026-08-03 (10-Q) — mstr-20260630 0001050446 --12-31 2026 Q2 FALSE 50 50 P10D P10D xbrli:shares iso4217:USD…
MSTR — Material Event: Strategy Inc filed 8-K on 2026-08-03 (8-K) — 8-K false 0001050446 0001050446 2026-08-03 2026-08-03 0001050446 mstr:VariableRateSeriesAPe…

Correct — MSTR +4.1% vs SPY -0.0% — MSTR beat SPY by 4.1%