{"id": 8780, "prediction_verbatim": "MSTR outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: MSTR closes at or below SPY's return over 48h, or closes down on the day of 10-Q announcement]", "created_at": "2026-08-05 12:53:20", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.91, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 MSTR +4.1% vs SPY -0.0% \u2014 MSTR beat SPY by 4.1%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-07 14:03:03", "chain_hash": "942103ff40fa883821013709f8011582d995d360bbf142ab19f9a30172dc1b76", "chain_tx": "5DrK8EH9aFp8zWnt7Fqtyqe4Cre8qV8J7H8AABCtGeFVQFNVAiEKLGkXJiwp4SPRWxTSgGYJ8rN6BGj3R8TAEJmU", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}