The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-04 17:19 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence61%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY total return over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
- Oil prices fall on hopes Strait of Hormuz could reopen
- BP's $5.7bn profit highest since 2022 as Iran war pushes up oil price