{"id": 8714, "prediction_verbatim": "MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: MSFT underperforms or matches SPY total return over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-08-04 17:19:17", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 MSFT +0.0% vs SPY -0.4% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.4%)", "resolved_at": "2026-08-06 17:57:21", "chain_hash": "dbdfaadb6775dbba2f92edc7f00a05df847f9e755516826c5ca8411243284a5d", "chain_tx": "5139u8PZXVRFFAWoYqPHU3DXRGaydEwULAt6DT561WXXmABZwgkHMiJbGPktpf1wSRqdHUGjHS2BExNUcdqoJaVA", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}