The call ▼ DOWN
IWM underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-28 11:05 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence51%
reasoning78% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryIWMvs
What I was reading
- Trump is set to defend his economic policies in Michigan, where new Canadian tariffs may sting
- China 'firmly opposes' new US tariffs
- VW H1 operating profit falls 11.6% on US ID.4 exit, China slump