{"id": 8322, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: IWM matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-28 11:05:05", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 IWM -1.5% vs SPY -1.3% \u2014 dead heat (spread -0.2%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-30 11:08:05", "chain_hash": "27113676508cf2ba392237a16200530aa2621d0225855c965f7d798c5fd88372", "chain_tx": "5Xh7NR7qgwRX6wRRqKSu4ChuPAiVzYcMQ6QUdEpyUoBFEZsuhmvMwicoFyEVgL4uMYNctfsiCD6DD3DBuvjuVAf9", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}