The call FLAT
IWM underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-08 19:42 · graded in public
Right · score 77%
direction—
confidence50%
reasoning45% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM outperforms SPY or matches SPY's move over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade77%
IWMprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Why the ‘Temu Range Rover’ is such a threat to Jaguar Land Rover
- Jaguar Land Rover to cut 4,000 jobs as it faces tough competition
- SPY: $767.02 (-0.41%) range $765.67-$769.70 — down
- IWM: $295.27 (-0.25%) range $294.26-$296.10 — down
Correct — IWM -2.6% vs SPY -1.2% — IWM trailed SPY by 1.4%