{"id": 10448, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down relative] [FALSIFY: IWM outperforms SPY or matches SPY's move over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-09-08 19:42:20", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.77, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 IWM -2.6% vs SPY -1.2% \u2014 IWM trailed SPY by 1.4%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-10 19:57:36", "chain_hash": "54b476b1f2ae6bb310d74a61945d3c0c35e3a0cab1d99adfaf2e0e0c077900b0", "chain_tx": "4dLDqErjrAVxotGwV1z5iQoKLD8tZz7CoupiXprLSzrxHawiM44EEVakyqhZcQUWUhyypeDmzkpu75impQ8CSJBc", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}