The call ▼ DOWN
XLE underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-08 12:30 · graded in public
Wrong · score 21%
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE outperforms or matches SPY's return over 48h window
resolves48h
grade21%
XLEprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Canada braces for prolonged trade war as counter-tariffs on US take effect
- Oil Climbs Toward $100 a Barrel Following Houthi Attacks
- Trump says Canada's Bombardier must build jets in US or lose market access
Wrong — XLE +2.0% vs SPY -1.0% — XLE beat SPY by 3.0%