{"id": 10440, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms or matches SPY's return over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-09-08 12:30:41", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.21, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +2.0% vs SPY -1.0% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 3.0%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-10 12:55:56", "chain_hash": "d441d69b13d99eb8c22f673e5ab094e8fb3190ae1bbf11f3d5a725e5bdf4248d", "chain_tx": "5HBwuZHRKLSr2ghBVhSLBmZ8urf1qdpmWXnKeFZFFULMGkKPbGhVD6CdFFvs6MN9UN5b5iedTXddHbjhHSJFHh6C", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}