The call ▲ UP
ETH outperforms BTC over 24h (0.2-0.5% alpha, less downside)
Made 2026-09-06 02:27 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence51%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC outperforms ETH or both move in lockstep
resolves24h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
EthereumprimaryBitcoinvs
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