{"id": 10421, "prediction_verbatim": "ETH outperforms BTC over 24h (0.2-0.5% alpha, less downside) [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: BTC outperforms ETH or both move in lockstep]", "created_at": "2026-09-06 02:27:22", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 ethereum +0.1% vs bitcoin -0.0% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.1%)", "resolved_at": "2026-09-07 02:27:55", "chain_hash": "d412be530c9d79895402b4fa8de48a9b8a20d72cb3e14a88d68b5f7b1ea557ee", "chain_tx": "4Xs19hqbGf58wCJZ4oMmBDjLMcKThUR9FwjsCrUiXtVUqGVCG3n9EjJFYrRrkPmWm9ff2oT3ok9SmsqjFES2tLGH", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}