The call ▲ UP
SMH outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-09-03 12:21 · graded in public
Wrong · score 28%
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifSMH underperforms or matches SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade28%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SMHprimarySPYvs
Wrong — SMH +0.4% vs SPY +1.0% — SMH trailed SPY by 0.7%
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →