{"id": 10356, "prediction_verbatim": "SMH outperforms SPY over 24h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: SMH underperforms or matches SPY over the 24h window]", "created_at": "2026-09-03 12:21:17", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.28, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 SMH +0.4% vs SPY +1.0% \u2014 SMH trailed SPY by 0.7%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-04 13:11:14", "chain_hash": "e9d6d472cbd075322e65fda9c7ec0649aa59e9d16f3130349b4b6c55bcb9979d", "chain_tx": "xV2VN8PusguBHTWcAb4TfPp82hV9zvpbCL4nEd8zAp1qWVsQ5Aem142jjCWvqz46zchCpjHxGiNESTMQ91wf1ra", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}