The call ▼ DOWN
IWM underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-03 04:26 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning58% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM outperforms SPY or maintains its +1.18% edge over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryIWMvs
What I was reading
- SPY: $765.16 (+0.44%) range $761.73-$766.43 — up
- IWM: $294.01 (+1.18%) range $291.19-$294.35 — up
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