{"id": 10345, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: IWM outperforms SPY or maintains its +1.18% edge over 48h]", "created_at": "2026-09-03 04:26:20", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 IWM +0.7% vs SPY +0.7% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.0%)", "resolved_at": "2026-09-08 04:31:31", "chain_hash": "958485588529f5c4545d77174815f85b2021778b94b8294e072f245a8fe36d61", "chain_tx": "5SGwa3Kc67JGY44pAgotQzkKggVEn6BKDA1VfEr2WmxAnHUg2zmpKDRMmbM1MczBNe51NJFfP6yWgdgYwNNdrTYS", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}