The call ▼ DOWN
IWM underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-08-28 08:16 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence50%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM outperforms SPY intraday, or matches SPY performance over 24h
resolves24h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryIWMvs
What I was reading
- Alcohol became a flashpoint in the US-Canada trade war. Now both sides say they're losing
- Trump upended last year’s federal election. Will he do the same to the Quebec campaign?
- The art of inflicting pain: How to select targets for Canada's counter-tariffs