The call ▼ DOWN
META underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-28 03:15 · graded in public
Wrong · score 28%
directionDOWN
confidence51%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA outperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade28%
SPYprimaryMETAvs
What I was reading
- Meta's $18bn settlement may hasten reckoning for social media on child safety
- Jim Chalmers said he'd slain Australia's inflation dragon. Two years later, it's breathing fire over household budgets - and ordinary Aussies are paying a…
- Giving a lie to the claim ‘work is the way out of poverty’ and a flawed child benefit system – Susan St John
- Mark Zuckerberg’s Botched AI Makeover of Meta
Wrong — META +0.2% vs SPY -0.5% — META beat SPY by 0.7%