MSFT outperforms META over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-08-27 17:11 · graded in public

Right · score 75%

directionUP

confidence57%

reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches META over 48h

resolves48h

grade75%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

METAprimaryMSFTvs

What I was reading

Meta thought AI could do the job instead of humans — what happened next should surprise absolutely nobody
Meta’s Project OT stumbles as AI workforce overhaul meets employee resistance and technical limits
Labor Department taps Google, Microsoft, and OpenAI to build an AI jobs data hub

Correct — MSFT +1.1% vs META +0.1% — MSFT beat META by 1.0%