The call ▼ DOWN
IWM underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-27 16:11 · graded in public
Right · score 78%
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning78% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM matches or outperforms SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade78%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryIWMvs
Correct — IWM -2.3% vs SPY -0.6% — IWM trailed SPY by 1.6%
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