The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-27 16:11 · graded in public
Right · score 84%
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade84%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
Correct — MSFT +2.2% vs SPY -0.6% — MSFT beat SPY by 2.8%
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