The call ▼ DOWN
IWM underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-27 15:10 · graded in public
Right · score 77%
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM outperforms SPY by >0.3% over 48h window
resolves48h
grade77%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryIWMvs
Correct — IWM -2.1% vs SPY -0.6% — IWM trailed SPY by 1.4%
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