The call ▼ DOWN
META underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-27 15:10 · graded in public
Wrong · score 28%
directionDOWN
confidence54%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA outperforms SPY by >0.5% over 48h window
resolves48h
grade28%
SPYprimaryMETAvs
What I was reading
- What the Meta settlement means for the UK, and other questions after the deal
- Meta reaches $17B settlement. And, nuclear regulator to abandon radiation safety rule
- Meta’s Project OT stumbles as AI workforce overhaul meets employee resistance and technical limits
Wrong — META -0.1% vs SPY -0.6% — META beat SPY by 0.6%