The call ▲ UP
META outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-27 11:09 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA underperforms SPY over the 48h window (i.e., META return ≤ SPY return)
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryMETAvs
What I was reading
- Meta's $18bn settlement may hasten reckoning for social media on child safety
- Hong Kong to launch free AI courses with tech giants Google, Microsoft for SMEs