The call ▼ DOWN
SPY flat to -0.3% over 24h
Made 2026-08-27 06:08 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning55% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifSPY closes >0.2% higher on the day
resolves24h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimary
What I was reading