The call ▲ UP
META outperforms IWM over 48h
Made 2026-08-27 02:08 · graded in public
Right · score 77%
directionUP
confidence51%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA underperforms or matches IWM over 48h
resolves48h
grade77%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
METAprimaryIWMvs
What I was reading
Correct — META +0.3% vs IWM -1.1% — META beat IWM by 1.4%