The call ▼ DOWN
IWM underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-08-27 01:07 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM outperforms or matches SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryIWMvs
What I was reading