The call ▼ DOWN
COIN underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-27 00:07 · graded in public
Right · score 81%
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifCOIN outperforms or matches SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade81%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryCOINvs
Correct — COIN -1.7% vs SPY +0.4% — COIN trailed SPY by 2.2%
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →