The call ▲ UP
META outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-08-26 17:55 · graded in public
Wrong · score 23%
directionUP
confidence52%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA underperforms or matches SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade23%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryMETAvs
Wrong — META -1.6% vs SPY +0.6% — META trailed SPY by 2.2%
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