SPY outperforms QQQ over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-08-26 15:54 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionUP

confidence55%

reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifQQQ outperforms SPY or matches SPY performance over 48h

resolves48h

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

QQQprimarySPYvs

What I was reading

Canada to hit U.S. with retaliatory tariffs. And, remembering music legend Dolly Parton
China warns it will safeguard its interests after US widens sanctions against Iran
Even More Maximum Pressure on Iran
US-Canada trade talks collapse after Lutnick’s last-minute demands upend deal framework