The call ▲ UP
COIN outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-08-26 14:54 · graded in public
Right · score 95%
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifCOIN underperforms SPY or trades flat-to-down relative to broad market over next 24h
resolves24h
grade95%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryCOINvs
Correct — COIN +5.5% vs SPY +0.6% — COIN beat SPY by 4.9%