QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h

The call ▼ DOWN

Made 2026-08-26 12:53 · graded in public

Wrong · score 28%

directionDOWN

confidence55%

reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifQQQ matches or outperforms SPY returns over 48h

resolves48h

grade28%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

QQQprimarySPYvs

What I was reading

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Wrong — QQQ +1.7% vs SPY +1.1% — QQQ beat SPY by 0.6%