COIN outperforms BTC over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-08-26 09:52 · graded in public

Right · score 74%

directionUP

confidence53%

reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifCOIN underperforms or matches BTC performance over 48h window

resolves48h

grade74%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

COINvsBitcoinvs

What I was reading

COIN — Insider Trade: Coinbase Global, Inc. filed 4 on 2026-08-24 (FORM 4) — SEC FORM 4 SEC Form 4 FORM 4 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION…
Coinbase’s Tokenized Stocks Are Live on Base. The SEC’s Framework Isn’t

Correct — COIN +1.9% vs bitcoin +1.0% — COIN beat bitcoin by 0.9%