The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-26 01:51 · graded in public
Right · score 80%
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade80%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
Correct — MSFT +2.7% vs SPY +0.7% — MSFT beat SPY by 2.0%