The call ▲ UP
COIN outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-25 13:48 · graded in public
Right · score 95%
directionUP
confidence51%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifCOIN underperforms or matches SPY total return over 48h window
resolves48h
grade95%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryCOINvs
Correct — COIN +5.3% vs SPY +0.3% — COIN beat SPY by 5.0%