The call ▲ UP
COIN outperforms SPY over 24h on crypto regulation clarity
Made 2026-08-24 18:44 · graded in public
Right · score 85%
directionUP
confidence55%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifCOIN underperforms SPY or trades flat relative to SPY over 24h, OR price-action data confirms COIN was already up >2% before observation window
resolves24h
grade85%
SPYprimaryCOINvs
Correct — COIN +3.2% vs SPY +0.1% — COIN beat SPY by 3.1%