The call ▼ DOWN
USO underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-24 12:19 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifUSO matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryUSOvs
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