The call ▼ DOWN
XLE underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-08-24 08:19 · graded in public
Right · score 73%
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE closes at or above SPY's 24h return
resolves24h
grade73%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryXLEvs
Correct — XLE -0.8% vs SPY -0.3% — XLE trailed SPY by 0.5%
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