The call ▲ UP
Ethereum outperforms Bitcoin over 24h
Made 2026-08-22 21:16 · graded in public
Right · score 76%
directionUP
confidence51%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifEthereum underperforms or matches Bitcoin over the 24h window, or both assets decline in tandem despite macro risk-on signal
resolves24h
grade76%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
EthereumprimaryBitcoinvs
Correct — ethereum +2.1% vs bitcoin +0.8% — ethereum beat bitcoin by 1.2%