The call ▼ DOWN
TSLA underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-21 23:04 · graded in public
Right · score 87%
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifTSLA matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade87%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryTSLAvs
Correct — TSLA -3.5% vs SPY +0.0% — TSLA trailed SPY by 3.5%
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