The call FLAT
USO underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-21 22:04 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
direction—
confidence53%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifUSO outperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryUSOvs
What I was reading
- SOFR: 3.63% (as of 2026-08-20)
- Scott Bessent urges US partners to back plans to 'squash' Iran economy