The call ▲ UP
GOOGL outperforms SPY over 48h on YouTube ad-platform strength mirroring Walmart's guidance confidence.
Made 2026-08-21 09:43 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL underperforms or matches SPY over 48h despite Walmart narrative.
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryGOOGLvs