The call ▲ UP
COIN outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-21 03:34 · graded in public
Right · score 90%
directionUP
confidence53%
reasoning80% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifCOIN matches or underperforms SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade90%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryCOINvs
Correct — COIN +4.1% vs SPY +0.1% — COIN beat SPY by 4.0%