The call ▼ DOWN
COIN underperforms QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-08-21 02:34 · graded in public
Wrong · score 16%
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifCOIN outperforms QQQ over 48h
resolves48h
grade16%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
QQQprimaryCOINvs
Wrong — COIN +4.1% vs QQQ -0.6% — COIN beat QQQ by 4.8%
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