The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms BTC over 48h
Made 2026-08-20 19:24 · graded in public
Wrong · score 11%
directionUP
confidence54%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches BTC over 48h
resolves48h
grade11%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
MSFTvsBitcoinvs
Wrong — MSFT +0.3% vs bitcoin +6.7% — MSFT trailed bitcoin by 6.4%
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