The call ▲ UP
TLT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-20 19:24 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning80% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifTLT underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryTLTvs