The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-20 18:24 · graded in public
Right · score 77%
directionUP
confidence60%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade77%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
Correct — MSFT +1.5% vs SPY +0.1% — MSFT beat SPY by 1.4%
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