The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-20 15:14 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence59%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
QQQprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- 10Y Inflation Breakeven: 2.30% (as of 2026-08-19)
- SOFR: 3.62% (as of 2026-08-19)
- Taiwan proposes record US$35b defence budget for 2027 as PLA’s pressure grows
- At least 15 killed in Kyiv as Ukraine grapples with air defence shortages